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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+0.79vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.24+1.85vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.16+2.12vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.63+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-2.56+1.87vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.25-2.15vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.56-4.16vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-3.04-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79University of Illinois1.490.5%1st Place
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3.85Grand Valley State University-0.240.1%1st Place
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5.12Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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4.44Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Notre Dame-2.560.0%1st Place
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3.85Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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2.84Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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7.24Western Michigan University-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 52.1% | 27.7% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.9% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 30.9% | 16.9% | 3.8% |
| Jenna Kozal | 6.0% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 8.0% | 1.3% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 11.8% | 39.1% | 37.1% |
| Samuel Monique | 8.6% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Odey Hariri | 19.2% | 27.1% | 24.1% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Lawrey-Hooker | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 28.2% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.