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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.27vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.63+3.34vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.49-0.92vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.56-0.70vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.16+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.56+2.07vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.25-2.32vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.24-3.34vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-0.21vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-3.04-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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5.34Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
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2.08University of Illinois1.490.4%1st Place
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3.3Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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6.07Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Notre Dame-2.560.0%1st Place
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4.68Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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4.66Grand Valley State University-0.240.1%1st Place
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8.79Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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8.74Western Michigan University-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 18.9% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 21.1% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 41.9% | 26.6% | 18.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 16.2% | 20.5% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 27.1% | 16.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 11.7% | 27.7% | 27.1% | 20.0% |
| Samuel Monique | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 6.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 16.6% | 31.3% | 39.7% |
| Jacob Lawrey-Hooker | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 16.4% | 30.9% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.