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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.20+1.90vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.33+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.30-0.17vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.74+1.97vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.51-2.46vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.95+0.21vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.50-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.93-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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3.78Grand Valley State University-0.330.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Illinois0.300.2%1st Place
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5.97Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
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2.54Purdue University0.510.3%1st Place
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6.21Hope College-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.62Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Turner | 22.0% | 22.1% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 12.6% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Michael Rivkin | 24.0% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack LeFevre | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 23.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 30.1% | 25.7% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Barce | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 31.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 23.0% | 16.4% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 20.7% | 22.6% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.