← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University0.51+2.06vs Predicted
-
2University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.21vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-1.50+3.48vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University-0.33+0.32vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University0.20-1.52vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois0.30-2.65vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-1.74-0.16vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-1.93-0.89vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-1.95-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.06Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
-
3.21University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
-
6.48Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
-
4.32Grand Valley State University-0.330.1%1st Place
-
3.48Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
-
3.35University of Illinois0.300.2%1st Place
-
6.84Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.11University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
-
7.14Hope College-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 23.8% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 19.4% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Brynna Smith | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 15.5% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Emma Turner | 18.3% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rivkin | 18.9% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack LeFevre | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 22.9% | 21.8% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 23.9% | 30.0% |
| Andrew Barce | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 23.8% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.