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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.30+2.36vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.20+1.67vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.33+1.39vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.74+2.68vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-1.99vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.50+0.43vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.11+0.39vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.51-4.99vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.93-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Illinois0.300.2%1st Place
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3.67Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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4.39Grand Valley State University-0.330.1%1st Place
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6.68Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
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3.01University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
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6.43Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.39Hope College-2.110.0%1st Place
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3.01Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
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7.07University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rivkin | 18.6% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Turner | 13.4% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack LeFevre | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 19.5% |
| Greg Bittle | 24.9% | 23.0% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Brynna Smith | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 17.6% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 15.0% |
| Charles Soucey | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 24.6% | 36.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 24.9% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 25.2% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.