Race 4B

laker-showdown

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack LeFevre 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 6.9% 13.6% 17.9% 21.9% 18.8% 6.9%
Greg Bittle 21.7% 20.6% 17.7% 16.9% 13.2% 5.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Diehm 22.2% 20.4% 19.3% 16.2% 11.6% 7.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Turner 16.4% 18.1% 16.1% 17.8% 16.5% 9.3% 4.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Rivkin 19.4% 17.3% 19.2% 17.7% 13.0% 7.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Brynna Smith 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 5.4% 8.9% 17.1% 20.1% 19.9% 13.8% 2.9%
Sarah Rozboril 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 1.9% 5.4% 7.3% 13.0% 69.3%
Mitchell Irwin 9.5% 11.9% 14.0% 13.8% 18.5% 15.7% 10.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Charles Soucey 1.9% 2.0% 1.7% 3.7% 5.4% 9.3% 15.0% 22.0% 28.2% 10.8%
Carter Hrabrick 1.7% 2.3% 3.4% 3.9% 4.8% 12.2% 16.5% 21.6% 24.1% 9.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.