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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.22vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.77+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+1.93vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.28-2.32vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-2.76vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.65+0.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.16vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46+0.96vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43+0.07vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.73-3.87vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.39-2.21vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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3.52Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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6.93University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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8.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.24California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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11.79University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.6California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 25.8% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Justin Lim | 20.8% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Avey | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 24.2% | 14.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 21.3% | 12.9% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 19.9% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.