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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.77+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.97+0.16vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+4.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+1.99vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.46+1.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.43+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of Texas0.65-2.64vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.73-3.89vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.45-0.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.39-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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5.21California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.85University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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13.69California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.72University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 22.0% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 11.1% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 25.3% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Avey | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 16.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 14.6% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 54.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 23.6% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.