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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.13+4.66vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.11+4.42vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.02+3.27vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.24+1.56vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.52+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.31-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.36-2.05vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.46+2.15vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.49-3.21vs Predicted
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10Washington University-0.80-1.75vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.32-6.07vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.77-3.56vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas-2.16-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66University of Wisconsin0.1310.9%1st Place
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6.42Hope College-0.117.4%1st Place
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6.27Northwestern University-0.028.2%1st Place
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5.56Texas A&M University0.2411.6%1st Place
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7.82Arizona State University-0.524.7%1st Place
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5.35University of Minnesota0.3111.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Wisconsin0.3613.1%1st Place
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10.15Northern Michigan University-1.461.6%1st Place
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5.79Purdue University-0.499.7%1st Place
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8.25Washington University-0.803.9%1st Place
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4.93Marquette University0.3213.6%1st Place
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8.44Hope College-0.773.4%1st Place
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11.4University of Saint Thomas-2.160.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Kate Hennig | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Down | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Fergus Munro | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 13.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lawrence Busse | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 24.7% | 24.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 5.8% |
| Brittany Shabino | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 7.9% |
| Brady Boland | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 18.2% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.