← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.97vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.97+1.02vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.77+0.41vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.28+0.54vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.80vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.45+0.68vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-1.99vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-0.57vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.56vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.43+1.64vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-0.39+0.49vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas0.65-2.95vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.73-4.17vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-1.45-0.55vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon-1.38-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.97University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
-
3.02University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
-
3.41Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
-
4.54University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
7.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
6.68University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
5.01California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
7.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
-
7.44University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
-
11.64University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
-
9.05University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
-
8.83University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
-
13.45California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
-
13.25University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 26.7% | 23.7% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 20.8% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.9% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 22.5% | 18.8% | 9.4% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 9.6% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 13.3% | 26.3% | 41.3% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 13.2% | 27.1% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.