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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+2.07vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.77+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.45+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+0.51vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+1.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+0.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.33vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.43+1.61vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-5.92vs Predicted
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12University of Texas0.65-2.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.39-1.38vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.45-0.56vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.38-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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3.35Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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6.62University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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7.51University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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11.61University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.08California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.44California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 26.4% | 21.9% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 21.8% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 20.8% | 8.9% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 9.7% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 25.5% | 42.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 26.6% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.