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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.15vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.45+2.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.59vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.97-3.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.42vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.96vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.65-1.90vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.39-0.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43-1.11vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.45-0.39vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-0.46-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Stanford University3.110.3%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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4.56University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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5.08California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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8.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.89University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.61California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 29.8% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.6% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 3.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 23.6% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 21.7% | 14.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 20.9% | 14.7% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 53.0% |
| Emily Avey | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 23.6% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.