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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+3.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.14vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.97-2.81vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-0.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.39+1.78vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.11-7.97vs Predicted
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12University of Texas0.65-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43-1.08vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.46-2.12vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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6.72University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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5.1California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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3.19University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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7.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.03Stanford University3.110.3%1st Place
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9.24University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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11.92University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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13.57California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Hou | 22.1% | 20.7% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jasper Reid | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 14.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 28.1% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 16.2% |
| Emily Avey | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 23.3% | 15.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 19.6% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.