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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.27+4.67vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+1.18vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.61+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.66+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.41vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+2.19vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55-4.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.72+3.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.50-1.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.09-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.19-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.66-0.73vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.81+0.41vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-6.29vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.60-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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4.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.610.1%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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8.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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2.89Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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11.2University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.85University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Texas0.190.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.41California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diya Correa | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Patton | 24.7% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Zmina | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ted McDonough | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 28.3% | 23.0% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 8.9% |
| Noah Barton | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 7.8% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 24.4% | 44.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 25.8% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.