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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.35+2.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.27+2.88vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.61+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.50+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.09+3.55vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.07vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-3.53vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-0.01-0.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.72+0.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.02-2.21vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.81+1.15vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.43-5.75vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.60-1.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.66-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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2.97Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.88University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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5.06California Poly Maritime Academy1.610.1%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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8.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Texas-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.68University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.15California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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8.25Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.72University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 24.3% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 28.1% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Zmina | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Max Case | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 8.7% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 21.7% | 43.4% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 24.9% | 35.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.