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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+2.30vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.27+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.72+6.45vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.61-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.96vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.18+3.54vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.02-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.50-4.21vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-0.01-3.68vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.14vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.66-3.67vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-1.60-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.21University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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11.45University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.88California Poly Maritime Academy1.610.1%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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12.54Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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8.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.79University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Texas-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.86California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 29.5% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 25.0% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
| Justin Zmina | 10.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Claire Jablonski | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| Max Case | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Noah Barton | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Reilly Linn | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 38.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 5.7% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.