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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.24+4.71vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.32+3.04vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.31+2.17vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.13+1.66vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.36-1.22vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.11-0.65vs Predicted
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8Washington University-0.80+0.36vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.02-2.77vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.52-1.97vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.77-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas-2.16-0.60vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-1.46-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Texas A&M University0.2410.3%1st Place
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5.04Marquette University0.3212.9%1st Place
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5.17University of Minnesota0.3112.6%1st Place
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5.66University of Wisconsin0.1310.5%1st Place
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5.88Purdue University-0.498.8%1st Place
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4.78University of Wisconsin0.3614.4%1st Place
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6.35Hope College-0.117.4%1st Place
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8.36Washington University-0.804.2%1st Place
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6.23Northwestern University-0.028.6%1st Place
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8.03Arizona State University-0.524.0%1st Place
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8.33Hope College-0.773.9%1st Place
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11.4University of Saint Thomas-2.160.8%1st Place
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10.06Northern Michigan University-1.461.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Hennig | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Fergus Munro | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 6.7% |
| Cole Abbott | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Down | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 5.0% |
| Ella Sligh | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 7.0% |
| Brady Boland | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 18.1% | 53.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 23.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.