Race 5A

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stephanie Hudson 14.7% 13.7% 11.9% 13.7% 11.2% 10.9% 7.8% 7.4% 5.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
William Hutchings 12.2% 14.0% 11.6% 12.3% 10.2% 11.4% 9.1% 7.4% 7.7% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Tyler Rice 12.3% 9.7% 11.8% 10.3% 9.5% 9.9% 11.4% 10.2% 8.5% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Price 6.7% 9.3% 10.9% 9.5% 10.5% 10.7% 9.4% 9.4% 12.2% 9.1% 2.1% 0.2%
Michael Sturges 6.0% 7.6% 6.8% 7.3% 8.9% 9.3% 11.2% 10.6% 11.7% 16.5% 3.7% 0.4%
Emily Billing 11.6% 13.0% 9.6% 12.1% 11.1% 11.2% 9.6% 9.8% 5.7% 5.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Ian Towill 10.4% 9.4% 9.3% 10.2% 10.9% 9.4% 10.3% 9.8% 10.2% 8.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 14.2% 12.1% 12.7% 9.7% 8.9% 9.7% 10.7% 10.0% 5.9% 5.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 4.5% 3.7% 7.4% 6.2% 8.6% 8.5% 8.3% 12.3% 15.1% 20.5% 4.7% 0.2%
Lyle Fielding 6.5% 6.6% 7.1% 7.7% 9.3% 8.1% 10.5% 10.9% 13.9% 15.2% 4.0% 0.2%
Paul Hildebrand 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 4.4% 47.4% 41.0%
Tim Dexter 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 2.2% 2.7% 33.2% 58.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.