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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.85+2.71vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+0.24vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24-0.79vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97-1.36vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Miami0.850.1%1st Place
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2.24College of Charleston2.040.4%1st Place
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2.55Eckerd College1.740.3%1st Place
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3.21University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
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3.64Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.65Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Delisser | 9.7% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 22.8% | 29.4% | 7.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 35.5% | 29.0% | 18.3% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 27.4% | 24.4% | 23.3% | 16.4% | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.6% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 22.8% | 19.7% | 2.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 10.6% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 26.7% | 7.3% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 10.5% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.