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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.63+2.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24-0.55vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.19+2.91vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+2.46vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.90+2.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.61-3.80vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.37-2.49vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03-0.60vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.26-3.22vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Northeastern University1.630.2%1st Place
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4.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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2.45University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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6.91Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.19Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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3.2Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
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5.51Yale University0.370.1%1st Place
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8.4University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.78Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Hirschmann | 16.5% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 11.8% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 33.0% | 25.4% | 20.6% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 8.2% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 15.7% |
| Adam Larzelere | 21.0% | 22.1% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 22.8% | 19.2% |
| Andrew White | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 18.9% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.