Race 2A

saturday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Declan Botwinick 37.9% 26.0% 17.2% 10.2% 5.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 19.5% 21.2% 20.4% 18.5% 11.1% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Tyler Egeli 10.8% 12.6% 17.2% 18.1% 18.6% 14.1% 5.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Cameron Frary 2.3% 3.6% 5.1% 8.2% 11.8% 18.1% 17.4% 19.3% 10.5% 3.7%
Adam Larzelere 19.0% 22.7% 20.1% 18.2% 11.7% 5.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryan Magill 2.7% 3.2% 4.1% 5.4% 8.5% 13.1% 19.3% 18.3% 17.2% 8.2%
Will Rudaz 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 3.4% 5.5% 9.0% 15.9% 18.5% 25.1% 18.4%
Jack Sullivan 0.7% 0.3% 1.0% 1.7% 2.5% 4.7% 6.9% 10.9% 17.3% 54.0%
Beck Lorsch 4.6% 8.1% 9.0% 13.1% 17.5% 18.1% 15.5% 9.7% 3.7% 0.7%
Garrett Moen 1.5% 1.3% 3.7% 3.2% 7.1% 9.7% 13.9% 19.4% 25.3% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.