Race 6A

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Hutchings 13.0% 11.3% 10.9% 12.7% 12.1% 10.1% 9.8% 8.0% 7.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Tyler Rice 9.9% 13.3% 9.1% 10.4% 12.5% 10.0% 11.1% 9.3% 8.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 8.0% 4.6% 7.1% 7.3% 8.0% 8.8% 10.0% 12.8% 14.1% 16.0% 3.2% 0.1%
Christopher Price 7.3% 8.5% 10.4% 9.4% 10.8% 9.9% 10.7% 11.0% 10.5% 9.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Stephanie Hudson 14.0% 15.8% 15.0% 10.5% 10.3% 10.6% 7.0% 7.5% 5.0% 4.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily Billing 12.2% 11.3% 11.3% 12.2% 10.4% 11.3% 9.5% 8.8% 7.1% 5.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Ian Towill 9.8% 9.3% 9.1% 10.9% 9.8% 10.0% 10.9% 11.2% 9.5% 7.7% 1.8% 0.0%
Lyle Fielding 7.0% 6.3% 7.3% 7.9% 8.3% 9.0% 10.4% 10.2% 13.4% 16.3% 3.8% 0.1%
Matthew Schon 12.0% 13.7% 13.4% 11.2% 11.0% 10.7% 10.2% 8.1% 5.9% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 5.9% 5.1% 5.7% 6.3% 5.9% 8.4% 8.6% 11.3% 15.2% 21.4% 5.7% 0.5%
Tim Dexter 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 3.0% 34.2% 57.5%
Paul Hildebrand 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 2.3% 4.7% 46.2% 41.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.