← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Egeli 12.8% 14.1% 16.8% 16.8% 17.3% 10.6% 7.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Declan Botwinick 35.1% 26.7% 20.2% 10.8% 4.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Larzelere 18.3% 20.0% 20.6% 18.1% 14.2% 6.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 18.4% 22.7% 20.2% 17.8% 12.0% 5.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Garrett Moen 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 4.8% 6.2% 9.2% 13.9% 20.3% 23.1% 15.4%
Beck Lorsch 6.8% 6.4% 7.9% 12.7% 17.4% 19.1% 14.6% 10.2% 4.0% 0.9%
Ryan Magill 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 5.5% 9.3% 13.3% 21.3% 20.4% 14.8% 8.0%
Will Rudaz 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 4.0% 5.3% 11.7% 12.0% 16.5% 26.4% 19.0%
Cameron Frary 3.2% 3.3% 4.7% 8.5% 11.5% 16.8% 20.0% 16.7% 11.3% 4.0%
Jack Sullivan 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 2.7% 5.0% 5.8% 11.7% 19.1% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.