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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+0.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.61+0.20vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.63-0.87vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.90+2.42vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.37-0.75vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.03-0.32vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.19-2.68vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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2.32University of Rhode Island2.240.4%1st Place
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3.2Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.13Northeastern University1.630.2%1st Place
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7.42Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.25Yale University0.370.1%1st Place
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6.9SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.68University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.32Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 35.1% | 26.7% | 20.2% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 18.3% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 18.4% | 22.7% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 20.3% | 23.1% | 15.4% |
| Beck Lorsch | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 21.3% | 20.4% | 14.8% | 8.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 26.4% | 19.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 4.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.