Race 4A

saturday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Declan Botwinick 38.4% 25.3% 17.0% 10.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Frary 3.8% 3.9% 5.0% 6.4% 10.9% 17.3% 20.9% 17.1% 10.4% 4.3%
Santiago Hirschmann 18.9% 19.4% 22.0% 17.9% 12.6% 5.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Beck Lorsch 4.1% 7.6% 8.8% 13.8% 17.9% 19.1% 14.5% 9.7% 4.0% 0.5%
Adam Larzelere 19.5% 21.8% 19.6% 18.0% 12.0% 5.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Garrett Moen 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 4.1% 6.2% 9.0% 15.6% 19.1% 22.1% 17.1%
Tyler Egeli 10.4% 14.2% 17.4% 19.0% 17.6% 12.1% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Will Rudaz 0.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.7% 6.2% 10.2% 13.3% 18.6% 24.2% 18.4%
Ryan Magill 1.8% 2.7% 4.3% 4.8% 8.5% 14.2% 17.1% 22.1% 17.7% 6.8%
Jack Sullivan 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 3.0% 4.1% 7.2% 9.2% 20.3% 52.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.