Race 5A

saturday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Declan Botwinick 38.6% 25.2% 16.3% 11.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 18.8% 21.5% 20.4% 18.2% 11.9% 4.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Magill 1.8% 3.8% 3.6% 4.8% 8.2% 11.9% 18.1% 20.8% 19.3% 7.7%
Tyler Egeli 9.7% 14.2% 18.5% 18.8% 17.9% 12.8% 5.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Adam Larzelere 19.2% 21.0% 20.1% 18.0% 12.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Frary 3.7% 3.6% 5.7% 7.7% 11.1% 17.6% 19.4% 15.7% 10.9% 4.6%
Garrett Moen 1.1% 1.4% 2.6% 3.8% 6.0% 10.0% 16.8% 21.5% 22.4% 14.4%
Beck Lorsch 5.3% 7.1% 10.0% 12.6% 17.1% 21.5% 13.0% 8.7% 3.9% 0.8%
Will Rudaz 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 3.5% 6.3% 9.9% 12.9% 18.3% 25.9% 18.2%
Jack Sullivan 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 3.2% 3.4% 7.8% 10.9% 17.1% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.