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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+1.31vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.61+0.18vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.63-0.84vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.19+1.21vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.81vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.37-1.72vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.90-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Rhode Island2.240.4%1st Place
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4.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.18Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.16Northeastern University1.630.2%1st Place
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6.21Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.28Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.42Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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7.73University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 37.4% | 26.3% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 18.6% | 21.3% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 17.8% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 18.6% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 7.8% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 21.7% | 14.7% |
| Jack Sullivan | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 54.6% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 27.2% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.