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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.06+2.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.89+1.51vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.66+0.92vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.57+0.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.37vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.67vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.28-2.42vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.38-0.46vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.41vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-2.95-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Rhode Island1.060.3%1st Place
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3.51Tufts University0.890.2%1st Place
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3.92Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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4.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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6.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.58Salve Regina University0.280.1%1st Place
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7.54Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.59University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.39Fairfield University-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Johnson | 25.7% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 18.0% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 15.0% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 12.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 5.5% |
| Gregory Dillon | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 31.2% | 10.2% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 24.9% | 30.7% | 10.8% |
| Lloyd Dennis | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 13.7% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.