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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.06+2.14vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.79vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.57+1.00vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.89-0.63vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.66-1.23vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.59vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.38+0.43vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.28-3.47vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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4.0Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University0.890.2%1st Place
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3.77Yale University0.660.2%1st Place
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6.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.43Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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4.53Salve Regina University0.280.1%1st Place
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7.37University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Johnson | 22.6% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 19.5% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 16.1% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 23.5% | 22.9% | 18.3% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 13.2% | 29.2% | 36.8% |
| Gregory Dillon | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 25.7% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.