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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.06+2.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.89+0.50vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.66-0.21vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.57-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.36+1.39vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.28-2.37vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.61-1.76vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.38-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
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4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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3.5Tufts University0.890.2%1st Place
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3.79Yale University0.660.2%1st Place
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3.95Northeastern University0.570.2%1st Place
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7.39University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.63Salve Regina University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.24SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.1%1st Place
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7.47Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Johnson | 23.2% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 18.9% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 15.3% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 27.1% | 37.3% |
| Gregory Dillon | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Mallory Reading | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 14.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 25.1% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.