← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University0.66+2.86vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.83vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.06+0.16vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.89-0.67vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-1.38+2.29vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.28-1.47vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.57-3.01vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.62vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.86Yale University0.660.2%1st Place
-
4.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
-
3.16University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
-
3.33Tufts University0.890.2%1st Place
-
7.29Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
-
4.53Salve Regina University0.280.1%1st Place
-
3.99Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
-
7.38University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
-
6.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 16.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Johnson | 22.5% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 20.7% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 24.8% | 37.1% |
| Gregory Dillon | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 25.5% | 38.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 21.1% | 24.9% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.