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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+3.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.89+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.06+0.16vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.38+3.32vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.66-1.24vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.40vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57-4.00vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.28-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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3.57Tufts University0.890.2%1st Place
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3.16University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
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7.32Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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3.76Yale University0.660.2%1st Place
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6.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.4University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.0Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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4.55Salve Regina University0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 15.5% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Johnson | 24.3% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 24.9% | 36.9% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 22.5% | 22.6% | 18.8% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 14.2% | 26.2% | 38.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 14.9% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Gregory Dillon | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.