Race 7A

admiral-alymer

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tyler Rice 11.2% 10.2% 9.8% 10.0% 12.9% 11.7% 8.9% 10.5% 8.2% 5.5% 1.1% 0.0%
William Hutchings 11.9% 15.2% 12.3% 12.4% 10.1% 8.8% 10.5% 7.0% 7.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Christopher Price 9.3% 9.0% 8.2% 9.8% 8.1% 10.2% 10.8% 11.2% 13.0% 9.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 5.2% 6.6% 7.1% 8.5% 8.8% 9.7% 11.1% 10.7% 11.6% 16.3% 4.0% 0.4%
Emily Billing 12.3% 10.5% 13.8% 11.7% 9.7% 9.6% 9.4% 9.2% 5.9% 7.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 12.1% 12.6% 11.1% 11.4% 11.2% 10.4% 10.2% 8.3% 7.7% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Ian Towill 10.5% 9.0% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 8.3% 11.2% 10.5% 10.8% 7.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Lyle Fielding 7.5% 7.1% 6.9% 6.9% 7.8% 10.7% 9.3% 9.8% 13.0% 16.4% 4.5% 0.1%
Sarah Fiske 4.4% 5.1% 5.0% 7.2% 8.9% 8.0% 9.0% 13.2% 14.3% 19.7% 4.9% 0.3%
Stephanie Hudson 14.6% 14.0% 13.9% 11.0% 11.4% 11.6% 8.8% 7.0% 4.6% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Paul Hildebrand 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 1.8% 1.7% 4.2% 47.2% 41.2%
Tim Dexter 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 3.4% 33.4% 58.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.