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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.24+4.50vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.49+3.69vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.31+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.13+0.49vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.02+0.06vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.32-2.18vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.52-0.35vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.11-2.69vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.05vs Predicted
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11Washington University-0.80-2.67vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.55-1.89vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas-2.16-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Texas A&M University0.2410.4%1st Place
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5.69Purdue University-0.4910.0%1st Place
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4.72University of Wisconsin0.3613.7%1st Place
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5.14University of Minnesota0.3112.3%1st Place
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5.49University of Wisconsin0.1311.1%1st Place
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6.06Northwestern University-0.029.8%1st Place
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4.82Marquette University0.3212.4%1st Place
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7.65Arizona State University-0.524.8%1st Place
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6.31Hope College-0.118.2%1st Place
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9.95Northern Michigan University-1.461.8%1st Place
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8.33Washington University-0.803.3%1st Place
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10.11Hope College-1.551.5%1st Place
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11.23University of Saint Thomas-2.160.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Hennig | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Fergus Munro | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Cole Abbott | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Brittany Shabino | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Lawrence Busse | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 21.8% | 20.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 5.1% |
| Connor Bricco | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 23.9% | 21.3% |
| Brady Boland | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.