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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.58+2.09vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+0.06vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38-0.13vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-1.94vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.81-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Christopher Newport University0.790.4%1st Place
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4.09University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.06Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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3.87Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.06Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.54William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Pittsburgh0.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 35.9% | 27.2% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 8.9% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 23.6% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 19.5% | 19.5% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 22.3% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 19.5% | 19.5% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 39.2% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 18.5% | 19.0% | 22.3% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.