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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+1.31vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.81+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.58+1.16vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38-0.15vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-1.86vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.14-2.83vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.18-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Christopher Newport University0.790.4%1st Place
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4.38William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.85Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.14Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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3.17University of Pittsburgh0.140.2%1st Place
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3.14Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 35.9% | 27.0% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 9.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 23.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 12.4% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 18.0% | 22.5% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 17.1% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 18.0% | 22.5% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.