← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.79+1.32vs Predicted
-
2University of Maryland-0.58+2.08vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.18+0.04vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech0.18-0.96vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary-0.81-0.58vs Predicted
-
6University of Pittsburgh0.14-2.74vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-0.38-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32Christopher Newport University0.790.4%1st Place
-
4.08University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
-
3.04Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
-
3.04Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
-
4.42William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
-
3.26University of Pittsburgh0.140.2%1st Place
-
3.88Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 36.3% | 26.2% | 18.7% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 19.0% | 21.5% | 21.0% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 19.0% | 21.5% | 21.0% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 16.8% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 11.1% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 23.7% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.