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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.02+2.04vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.06+0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.29+0.27vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.02-0.96vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.14-2.89vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-3.03-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.80-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Virginia Tech-1.020.2%1st Place
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2.06William and Mary-0.060.4%1st Place
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3.27University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.04Virginia Tech-1.020.2%1st Place
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2.11Christopher Newport University-0.140.3%1st Place
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4.99Catholic University of America-3.030.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Pittsburgh-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Corckran | 15.1% | 17.1% | 28.0% | 29.6% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 37.6% | 32.0% | 19.3% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 11.8% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 37.1% | 12.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Corckran | 15.1% | 17.1% | 28.0% | 29.6% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 33.7% | 33.6% | 21.5% | 10.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 50.5% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Katilius | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 26.2% | 66.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.