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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-1.29+2.37vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.02+0.99vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.06-0.98vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.14-1.88vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.02-2.01vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-3.03-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.80-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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2.99Virginia Tech-1.020.1%1st Place
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2.02William and Mary-0.060.4%1st Place
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2.12Christopher Newport University-0.140.3%1st Place
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2.99Virginia Tech-1.020.1%1st Place
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4.97Catholic University of America-3.030.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Pittsburgh-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zagalsky | 9.7% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 39.2% | 13.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| James Corckran | 14.3% | 20.0% | 28.2% | 27.8% | 8.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 39.8% | 29.7% | 20.6% | 8.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 33.9% | 32.4% | 23.0% | 9.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Corckran | 14.3% | 20.0% | 28.2% | 27.8% | 8.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 1.8% | 1.8% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 49.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Katilius | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 25.9% | 66.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.