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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University-0.14+1.09vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.06-0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.29+0.22vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.29-0.77vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.29-1.77vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-3.03-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.80-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Christopher Newport University-0.140.3%1st Place
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1.96William and Mary-0.060.4%1st Place
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3.22University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.23Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.23Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.98Catholic University of America-3.030.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Pittsburgh-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gail Schneider | 33.7% | 34.8% | 22.2% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 42.3% | 29.6% | 19.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 12.1% | 15.3% | 24.4% | 36.5% | 10.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.4% | 15.7% | 27.6% | 34.2% | 11.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.4% | 15.7% | 27.6% | 34.2% | 11.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 0.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 49.9% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Katilius | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 25.7% | 66.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.