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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.13+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.31+3.31vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.24+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.36+0.84vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.02+1.34vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.32-1.02vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.49-1.19vs Predicted
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8Washington University-0.80+0.32vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.11-2.50vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.77-1.66vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.99vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.52-4.18vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas-2.16-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of Wisconsin0.1310.2%1st Place
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5.31University of Minnesota0.3112.0%1st Place
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5.67Texas A&M University0.249.6%1st Place
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4.84University of Wisconsin0.3614.3%1st Place
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6.34Northwestern University-0.027.8%1st Place
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4.98Marquette University0.3213.3%1st Place
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5.81Purdue University-0.4910.0%1st Place
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8.32Washington University-0.803.6%1st Place
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6.5Hope College-0.118.0%1st Place
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8.34Hope College-0.773.2%1st Place
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10.01Northern Michigan University-1.462.3%1st Place
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7.82Arizona State University-0.524.5%1st Place
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11.43University of Saint Thomas-2.161.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Fergus Munro | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kate Hennig | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cole Abbott | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 13.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 6.9% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Ella Sligh | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 6.2% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 25.7% | 21.4% |
| Andrew Down | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Brady Boland | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 16.2% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.