Race 8A

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Fiske 4.9% 5.6% 4.5% 6.6% 7.5% 6.6% 8.4% 12.4% 13.8% 23.2% 6.2% 0.3%
William Hutchings 12.2% 13.4% 12.6% 12.4% 9.9% 11.4% 9.7% 7.2% 6.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Ian Towill 10.8% 6.7% 10.0% 10.2% 8.7% 9.7% 12.1% 12.1% 10.4% 7.3% 2.0% 0.0%
Tyler Rice 10.9% 11.6% 11.7% 11.7% 10.0% 10.5% 10.8% 7.8% 8.1% 5.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Lyle Fielding 5.7% 7.3% 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% 9.7% 10.0% 9.5% 12.4% 17.8% 4.3% 0.2%
Stephanie Hudson 15.9% 13.2% 13.4% 11.3% 12.5% 10.2% 9.3% 5.8% 5.3% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 13.3% 12.3% 11.4% 12.1% 11.2% 8.7% 8.7% 10.8% 7.0% 3.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Emily Billing 12.8% 13.8% 10.5% 10.7% 10.2% 9.2% 10.0% 9.9% 7.4% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Price 7.2% 9.1% 10.8% 9.9% 11.6% 11.4% 9.7% 10.9% 9.4% 8.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Paul Hildebrand 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 4.0% 47.2% 39.8%
Michael Sturges 5.8% 6.3% 7.0% 6.6% 8.9% 10.8% 9.3% 10.5% 15.0% 15.7% 3.4% 0.7%
Tim Dexter 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 32.1% 58.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.