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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.71+0.73vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91-0.41vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+0.70vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Columbia University1.710.4%1st Place
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1.59Webb Institute1.910.5%1st Place
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3.7Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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2.98SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopold Brandl | 41.5% | 45.7% | 11.6% | 1.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 50.9% | 39.8% | 8.6% | 0.7% |
| Collin Ross | 2.6% | 3.0% | 16.0% | 78.4% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.0% | 11.5% | 63.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.