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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.58vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.71-0.26vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+0.70vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Webb Institute1.910.5%1st Place
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1.74Columbia University1.710.4%1st Place
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3.7Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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2.97SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 52.3% | 38.0% | 9.0% | 0.7% |
| Leopold Brandl | 39.6% | 47.4% | 11.9% | 1.1% |
| Collin Ross | 2.5% | 3.2% | 15.8% | 78.5% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.6% | 11.4% | 63.3% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.