Race 9A

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Price 9.2% 9.3% 8.1% 10.1% 9.7% 11.6% 10.9% 9.6% 11.4% 8.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Matthew Schon 12.9% 14.2% 11.7% 12.4% 11.7% 9.8% 8.1% 8.4% 6.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.5% 6.7% 6.8% 9.6% 10.9% 15.3% 20.3% 5.2% 0.4%
Emily Billing 11.4% 13.1% 14.1% 10.8% 11.5% 9.9% 9.7% 7.1% 7.2% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Lyle Fielding 6.4% 7.5% 6.9% 9.1% 8.6% 9.2% 10.5% 11.3% 11.7% 15.1% 3.3% 0.4%
Drew Shea 10.8% 8.7% 10.3% 10.5% 10.7% 10.0% 10.9% 10.6% 8.9% 7.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Stephanie Hudson 16.8% 15.1% 14.4% 11.6% 11.3% 8.4% 9.9% 5.5% 3.4% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0%
James Altreuter 8.9% 8.3% 7.8% 8.9% 8.4% 11.1% 8.8% 11.2% 11.2% 12.3% 3.1% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 6.3% 7.1% 8.4% 8.4% 9.7% 11.5% 9.8% 12.5% 12.1% 11.7% 2.4% 0.1%
Ian Towill 10.2% 9.9% 11.1% 10.4% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.2% 8.5% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Tim Dexter 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 1.2% 3.2% 33.8% 57.5%
Paul Hildebrand 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% 46.5% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.