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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.49+4.79vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.13+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+1.86vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.02+2.24vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.77+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.31-0.67vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.32-2.15vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.24-2.37vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.52-1.13vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.11-3.51vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.87vs Predicted
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12Washington University-0.80-3.68vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas-2.16-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Purdue University-0.4910.4%1st Place
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5.73University of Wisconsin0.1310.4%1st Place
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4.86University of Wisconsin0.3613.5%1st Place
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6.24Northwestern University-0.029.0%1st Place
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8.37Hope College-0.773.6%1st Place
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5.33University of Minnesota0.3110.5%1st Place
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4.85Marquette University0.3214.8%1st Place
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5.63Texas A&M University0.249.4%1st Place
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7.87Arizona State University-0.524.2%1st Place
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6.49Hope College-0.117.4%1st Place
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10.13Northern Michigan University-1.461.8%1st Place
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8.32Washington University-0.803.9%1st Place
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11.38University of Saint Thomas-2.160.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nok In Chan | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cole Abbott | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Ella Sligh | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 7.1% |
| Fergus Munro | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Hennig | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Down | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 26.6% | 23.2% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 6.9% |
| Brady Boland | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 16.8% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.