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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+0.24vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.40+0.62vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.12vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-1.24-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.24Webb Institute1.690.8%1st Place
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2.62Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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2.88SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.26Columbia University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 79.8% | 16.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Alec Wyers | 8.9% | 39.0% | 33.5% | 18.6% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.6% | 27.5% | 34.4% | 30.5% |
| Alison Keenan | 3.7% | 17.0% | 28.8% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.