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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+0.20vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.40+0.42vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-1.24+0.10vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.2Webb Institute1.690.8%1st Place
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2.42Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.1Columbia University-1.240.0%1st Place
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3.27SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 82.5% | 14.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Alec Wyers | 9.7% | 49.3% | 30.2% | 10.8% |
| Alison Keenan | 4.9% | 20.3% | 34.6% | 40.2% |
| Adam Zeng | 2.9% | 15.6% | 32.7% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.