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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+0.24vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.40+0.60vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-1.24+0.31vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.24Webb Institute1.690.8%1st Place
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2.6Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.31Columbia University-1.240.0%1st Place
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2.84SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 79.6% | 17.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Alec Wyers | 9.2% | 38.6% | 34.9% | 17.3% |
| Alison Keenan | 4.8% | 15.7% | 23.0% | 56.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.4% | 28.7% | 39.2% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.