Race 10A

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Shea 9.7% 10.1% 9.7% 10.5% 10.8% 11.1% 9.3% 9.9% 10.7% 7.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 6.0% 6.9% 7.8% 9.2% 9.0% 10.5% 9.3% 13.3% 11.9% 12.9% 2.9% 0.3%
Stephanie Hudson 17.6% 12.7% 14.2% 12.4% 10.9% 10.6% 9.3% 5.8% 4.0% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Price 8.7% 9.3% 9.9% 9.6% 12.2% 9.3% 11.5% 9.3% 9.5% 8.6% 2.0% 0.1%
Matthew Schon 14.1% 13.1% 13.0% 10.6% 11.3% 8.5% 9.9% 7.5% 6.9% 4.7% 0.4% 0.0%
James Altreuter 7.8% 8.3% 7.0% 8.9% 8.8% 10.6% 11.5% 10.0% 10.9% 13.1% 2.5% 0.6%
Lyle Fielding 7.1% 7.8% 7.0% 9.4% 7.8% 8.5% 10.7% 11.5% 12.5% 14.5% 2.9% 0.3%
Sarah Fiske 7.0% 5.4% 6.8% 5.9% 7.0% 9.3% 8.6% 11.0% 13.0% 19.9% 5.7% 0.4%
Emily Billing 12.2% 15.8% 13.5% 12.2% 10.6% 9.7% 8.3% 7.8% 6.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Paul Hildebrand 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 2.0% 3.8% 47.4% 39.7%
Ian Towill 9.3% 10.0% 10.0% 10.3% 9.8% 10.2% 10.1% 10.4% 10.8% 7.1% 1.9% 0.1%
Tim Dexter 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 1.8% 1.3% 3.1% 32.5% 58.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.