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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+3.87vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.90+1.96vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.80+5.24vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.24+1.71vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.32-0.07vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.02+0.19vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.11-0.51vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.31-2.64vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.49-3.00vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.55+0.18vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.52-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas-2.16-0.65vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-1.46-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87University of Wisconsin0.3613.9%1st Place
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3.96University of Wisconsin0.9019.5%1st Place
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8.24Washington University-0.802.8%1st Place
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5.71Texas A&M University0.248.7%1st Place
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4.93Marquette University0.3211.8%1st Place
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6.19Northwestern University-0.028.3%1st Place
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6.49Hope College-0.117.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Minnesota0.3111.2%1st Place
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6.0Purdue University-0.498.0%1st Place
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10.18Hope College-1.551.8%1st Place
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7.78Arizona State University-0.524.5%1st Place
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11.35University of Saint Thomas-2.160.8%1st Place
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9.95Northern Michigan University-1.461.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 19.5% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Kate Hennig | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cole Abbott | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Fergus Munro | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bricco | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 23.2% | 22.1% |
| Andrew Down | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
| Brady Boland | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 20.5% | 48.5% |
| Lawrence Busse | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.