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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+3.21vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.57+1.37vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.28+3.90vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39+2.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+2.09vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.26+2.20vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+2.11vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.37-1.23vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.63-5.65vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96+0.24vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-6.11vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.24vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.19-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.25Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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7.9Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.72University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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9.2Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.77Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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4.35Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.24Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.14Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 14.9% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 24.1% | 21.2% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 14.5% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Dillon | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| James Sullivan | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| John Van Zanten | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Andrew White | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 6.7% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 14.7% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 13.4% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 21.8% | 25.8% |
| Niall Sheridan | 8.0% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 39.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.