Race 2A

sunday-salve-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Niall Sheridan 7.6% 8.6% 11.0% 10.8% 10.6% 9.8% 11.6% 9.0% 6.8% 5.6% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Grant Adam 17.0% 15.2% 15.4% 12.7% 11.3% 9.8% 7.9% 4.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Santiago Hirschmann 16.2% 14.8% 14.3% 12.3% 11.8% 10.1% 7.8% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Beck Lorsch 3.6% 4.7% 5.8% 6.8% 6.2% 7.7% 9.8% 10.9% 10.9% 11.8% 8.4% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8%
George Higham 20.2% 21.9% 15.9% 14.1% 12.0% 5.8% 5.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew White 2.0% 2.9% 2.7% 3.3% 2.8% 5.0% 6.2% 8.3% 8.8% 11.9% 11.7% 12.2% 13.7% 8.5%
Ryan Magill 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 4.0% 4.9% 6.5% 4.7% 7.6% 9.2% 12.4% 15.3% 15.1% 11.5%
James Sullivan 5.1% 4.8% 5.1% 7.4% 7.2% 8.2% 8.9% 9.6% 10.6% 10.5% 9.3% 6.4% 5.1% 1.8%
Gregory Dillon 4.7% 3.5% 4.6% 4.7% 6.5% 7.4% 7.8% 12.5% 12.1% 10.0% 9.7% 9.0% 5.4% 2.1%
Kathryn DeChambeau 1.4% 0.7% 1.1% 2.3% 1.4% 1.9% 3.3% 5.1% 4.4% 7.3% 10.7% 13.6% 19.6% 27.2%
Ryan Palardy 14.2% 13.5% 12.9% 13.3% 13.3% 10.2% 7.8% 6.4% 3.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
John Van Zanten 3.3% 3.7% 4.6% 4.9% 6.3% 9.4% 8.7% 10.7% 11.8% 11.5% 9.1% 6.8% 5.8% 3.4%
Andy Giaya 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 2.7% 5.5% 4.9% 6.8% 12.5% 19.7% 37.5%
Cameron Frary 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.6% 5.0% 7.8% 5.9% 7.5% 9.2% 10.8% 14.0% 12.7% 9.9% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.