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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+3.26vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+1.26vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.63+1.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+1.82vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.37+2.79vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.57-1.50vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.39+0.31vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.08vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.28-1.02vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.30vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.26-1.48vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.24vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.19-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.26Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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4.23Northeastern University1.630.2%1st Place
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5.82Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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7.79Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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4.5University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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7.31University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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7.98Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.3SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.52Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.22Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.13Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 23.9% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Palardy | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Gregory Dillon | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 14.3% |
| Andrew White | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.9% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 26.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 38.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.