Race 4A

sunday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Niall Sheridan 7.5% 9.1% 11.1% 10.2% 9.9% 11.1% 11.3% 8.4% 7.7% 6.0% 5.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Santiago Hirschmann 15.5% 16.1% 14.1% 14.0% 11.9% 10.4% 6.8% 5.0% 2.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2%
Grant Adam 17.0% 14.5% 14.4% 11.8% 11.2% 10.8% 8.6% 5.8% 4.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
George Higham 23.2% 20.6% 15.2% 14.2% 10.3% 7.2% 4.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Beck Lorsch 3.4% 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.6% 8.2% 9.3% 11.1% 9.9% 10.9% 8.5% 9.0% 4.7% 1.9%
Andrew White 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 4.4% 3.7% 6.1% 6.6% 10.3% 11.1% 14.6% 12.3% 10.8% 9.9%
Gregory Dillon 4.0% 5.3% 6.5% 5.4% 5.9% 7.4% 9.0% 11.9% 11.3% 10.4% 8.9% 7.7% 4.6% 1.7%
Ryan Magill 1.7% 1.9% 3.4% 2.4% 3.4% 4.1% 4.4% 6.0% 7.2% 7.9% 12.2% 15.2% 15.7% 14.5%
Ryan Palardy 13.8% 13.8% 13.5% 13.4% 12.7% 10.8% 7.5% 7.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
James Sullivan 3.9% 4.2% 4.1% 6.5% 9.0% 7.6% 8.7% 10.8% 12.9% 11.6% 9.0% 6.6% 3.3% 1.8%
Kathryn DeChambeau 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.6% 0.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.7% 4.9% 8.0% 8.3% 13.7% 22.3% 25.4%
John Van Zanten 3.5% 2.9% 4.7% 6.1% 6.4% 8.5% 8.7% 11.4% 10.4% 11.9% 9.6% 7.1% 6.2% 2.6%
Andy Giaya 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 1.7% 2.9% 2.2% 5.0% 4.8% 8.0% 12.7% 19.6% 36.9%
Cameron Frary 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 4.1% 4.4% 5.7% 8.4% 6.6% 9.1% 11.4% 13.8% 12.3% 11.5% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.