← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.02+4.79vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.63+2.17vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.64+1.23vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.57+0.45vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University-0.26+4.53vs Predicted
-
6Yale University0.37+1.82vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University0.28+0.66vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.06-4.64vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.21vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.92vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire0.39-3.34vs Predicted
-
12Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-0.81vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.24vs Predicted
-
14Bates College-0.19-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.79Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.17Northeastern University1.630.2%1st Place
-
4.23Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
-
4.45University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
-
9.53Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
-
7.82Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.66Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
-
3.36Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
-
10.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
8.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
-
7.66University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
-
11.19Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
-
11.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
-
9.09Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 16.4% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 15.3% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Palardy | 13.2% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew White | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Gregory Dillon | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| George Higham | 24.3% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 13.4% |
| John Van Zanten | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| James Sullivan | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 26.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 19.1% | 38.8% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.